Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Sunday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Wolfsberger ACRelegation Round34.3%-27.4Wolfsberger AC 5 - 0 MattersburgAustrian Bundesliga
Esporte Clube VitoriaSerie C40.7-17.8CRB 0 - 1 VitoriaSerie B
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeSerie B43.0-17.1Cruzeiro 2 - 0 SantosSerie A
Rapid Wienmake playoffs59.8+16.9Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Rapid WienAustrian Bundesliga
KPVYkkönen2.8-13.2KPV 2 - 1 HJKVeikkausliiga
Sao Paulo Futebol ClubeLibertadores78.4+13.0Sao Paulo 1 - 0 CearaSerie A
Associacao Chapecoense de FutebolSerie B55.1-12.0Chapecoense 1 - 0 AvaiSerie A
MetzUEFA CL24.5+11.6Metz 3 - 0 MonacoLigue 1
LyonnaisUEFA CL35.5+11.2Lyonnais 6 - 0 AngersLigue 1
EvertonUEFA CL33.2+11.0Everton 1 - 0 WatfordPremier
Down
Fluminense Football ClubSerie B64.6+20.5Fluminense 0 - 1 CSASerie A
Santos Futebol Clubewin title38.6-15.5Cruzeiro 2 - 0 SantosSerie A
St. Pöltenmake playoffs9.3-14.5St. Pölten 0 - 6 SalzburgAustrian Bundesliga
AngersUEFA CL8.8-13.8Lyonnais 6 - 0 AngersLigue 1
Mattersburgmake playoffs12.5-13.7Wolfsberger AC 5 - 0 MattersburgAustrian Bundesliga
VPSYkkönen97.2+13.2KPV 2 - 1 HJKVeikkausliiga
Sturm Grazmake playoffs69.6-10.6Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Rapid WienAustrian Bundesliga
MonacoLigue 233.9+10.2Metz 3 - 0 MonacoLigue 1
Clube de Regatas BrasilSerie A14.4-10.2CRB 0 - 1 VitoriaSerie B
Crystal PalaceUEFA CL12.4-9.7Sheffield United 1 - 0 Crystal PalacePremier

Monday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
SJKvsRoPS6:30 PM83Veikkausliiga
VPSvsIFK Mariehamn6:30 PM75Veikkausliiga
FC LahtivsHonka6:30 PM57Veikkausliiga
CriciumavsBragantino31Serie B
OestevsCoritiba22Serie B
WolverhamptonvsManchester United11Premier